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Jordan Love

GB @ DET · Sun 4:25 PM ET

Completions · 21.5 at betPARX · median 22.5 ·

52Signal · under 21.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
4 straight over

How the formula reads this game

  • pass attempts: 37.7 a game recently

Expected completions: 22.5 against 21.5 · over 48%, under 52%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.

Last 10 games against 21.5 · Nov 27, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026

Worst miss -13.5
21.52025-11-27 at DET: 18, under 21.5 by 3.518DET2025-12-07 vs CHI: 17, under 21.5 by 4.517CHI2025-12-14 at DEN: 24, over 21.5 by 2.524DEN2025-12-20 at CHI: 8, under 21.5 by 13.58CHI2026-09-13 at MIN: 21, under 21.5 by 0.521MIN2026-09-20 at NYJ: 16, under 21.5 by 5.516NYJ2026-09-24 vs ATL: 28, over 21.5 by 6.528ATL2026-10-04 at TB: 22, over 21.5 by 0.522TB2026-10-11 vs CHI: 25, over 21.5 by 3.525CHI2026-10-18 vs DAL: 23, over 21.5 by 1.523DAL
Each game against 21.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-11-27DET18 under−3.5
2025-12-07CHI17 under−4.5
2025-12-14DEN24 over+2.5
2025-12-20CHI8 under−13.5
2026-09-13MIN21 under−0.5
2026-09-20NYJ16 under−5.5
2026-09-24ATL28 over+6.5
2026-10-04TB22 over+0.5
2026-10-11CHI25 over+3.5
2026-10-18DAL23 over+1.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 105 / 1050%-1.3
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Away (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 50% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range

8 books · 2 spread
  • betPARX 21.5
  • BetRivers 21.5
  • Bally Bet 21.5
  • Hard Rock Bet 22.5
  • Fliff 22.5
  • PrizePicks 22.5
  • BetMGM 23.5
  • DraftKings 23.5

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 21.5
2026-10-18vs DAL23over
2026-10-11vs CHI25over
2026-10-04@ TB22over
2026-09-24vs ATL28over
2026-09-20@ NYJ16under
2026-09-13@ MIN21under
2025-12-20@ CHI8under
2025-12-14@ DEN24over
2025-12-07vs CHI17under
2025-11-27@ DET18under
2025-11-23vs MIN14under
2025-11-16@ NYG13under
2025-11-10vs PHI20under
2025-11-02vs CAR26over
2025-10-26@ PIT29over
2025-10-19@ ARI19under
2025-10-12vs CIN19under
2025-09-28@ DAL31over
2025-09-21@ CLE18under
2025-09-11vs WAS19under
2025-09-07vs DET16under