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Jordan Mason
MIN vs IND · Sun 1:00 PM ETRushing Yards · 46.5 at Hard Rock Bet ·
55Signal · under 46.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 9.7 a game recently
- vs IND · ×0.98 yds per carry
Expected rushing yards: 47.3 yds against 46.5 · over 45%, under 55%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 8 games, 1 this season.
Last 10 games against 46.5 · Nov 2, 2025 – Sep 13, 2026
Worst miss -47 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 | DET | 36 under | −10.5 |
| 2025-11-09 | BAL | 25 under | −21.5 |
| 2025-11-16 | CHI | 45 under | −1.5 |
| 2025-11-23 | GB | 42 under | −4.5 |
| 2025-11-30 | SEA | 47 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | WAS | 52 over | +5.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | DAL | 29 under | −17.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | NYG | 5 under | −41.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | GB | 94 over | +47.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | GB | 59 over | +12.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | +3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
46.58 books, no line disagreementDK · PX2 · FD · BR · HR · BB · FL · PP
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 46.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | vs GB | 59 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | vs GB | 94 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | @ NYG | 5 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ DAL | 29 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | vs WAS | 52 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | @ SEA | 47 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | @ GB | 42 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs CHI | 45 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs BAL | 25 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | @ DET | 36 | under |
| 2025-10-23 | @ LAC | 3 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | vs PHI | 57 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ CLE | 52 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | @ PIT | 57 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | vs CIN | 116 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | vs ATL | 30 | under |
| 2025-09-08 | @ CHI | 68 | over |