Jordan Whittington

LA @ LV · Sun 4:25 PM ET

Receptions · 0.5 ·

50Signal · over 0.580% · 8 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance

8 / 10

3 straight over

Fliff 0.5 -190 ·

How the formula reads this game

targets: 1.4 a game recently

Expected receptions: 1.0 against 0.5 · over 50%, under 50%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 8 games, 2 this season.

Last 10 games against 0.5 · Oct 12, 2025 – Oct 4, 2026

Worst miss -0.5

Each game against 0.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
2025-10-12	BAL	3 over	+2.5
2025-10-19	JAX	2 over	+1.5
2025-11-16	SEA	1 over	+0.5
2025-11-23	TB	3 over	+2.5
2025-11-30	CAR	0 under	−0.5
2025-12-07	ARI	1 over	+0.5
2025-12-14	DET	0 under	−0.5
2025-12-18	SEA	1 over	+0.5
2026-09-10	SF	1 over	+0.5
2026-10-04	PHI	1 over	+0.5

The ten-game rate rests on an average clearance under one unit of the stat: a thin habit rather than a wide one.

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin for the over
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	8 / 10	80% over	+0.8
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Away (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 80% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

0.5Fliff-190· one book

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 0.5
2026-10-04	@ PHI	1	over
2026-09-10	vs SF	1	over
2025-12-18	@ SEA	1	over
2025-12-14	vs DET	0	under
2025-12-07	@ ARI	1	over
2025-11-30	@ CAR	0	under
2025-11-23	vs TB	3	over
2025-11-16	vs SEA	1	over
2025-10-19	@ JAX	2	over
2025-10-12	@ BAL	3	over
2025-10-02	vs SF	2	over
2025-09-28	vs IND	1	over
2025-09-21	@ PHI	2	over
2025-09-14	@ TEN	2	over
2025-09-07	vs HOU	0	under