← NFL board
Josh Cameron
JAX @ TEN · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceptions · 0.5 at Hard Rock Bet ·
53Signal · over 0.583% · 5 / 6 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 6Cleared the number in 5 of 6 games, 4 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 2.3 a game recently
Expected receptions: 1.5 against 0.5 · over 53%, under 47%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 0.5 · Sep 13, 2026 – Nov 5, 2026
Worst miss -0.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-13 | CLE | 2 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NE | 1 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | CIN | 2 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | PHI | 3 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-11-01 | IND | 0 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-11-05 | BAL | 1 over | +0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 6 | 83% over | +1 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 83% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
0.54 books, no line disagreementFD · HR · FL · DK· best price at 0.5: FD -205
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | @ BAL | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-01 | vs IND | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs PHI | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ CIN | 2 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs NE | 1 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs CLE | 2 | over |