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Josh Jacobs
GB @ NE · Sun 4:25 PM ETReceiving Yards · 21.5 · median of 8 books ·
57Signal · under 21.580% · 8 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
2 / 10Cleared the number in 2 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 3.6 a game recently
Expected receiving yards: 18.1 yds against 21.5 · over 43%, under 57%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 8 games, 2 this season.
Last 10 games against 21.5 · Nov 2, 2025 – Oct 29, 2026
Worst miss -33 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 | CAR | 13 under | −8.5 |
| 2025-11-10 | PHI | 33 over | +11.5 |
| 2025-11-16 | NYG | 0 under | −21.5 |
| 2025-11-27 | DET | 8 under | −13.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | CHI | 6 under | −15.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | DEN | 19 under | −2.5 |
| 2025-12-20 | CHI | 12 under | −9.5 |
| 2025-12-27 | BAL | 0 under | −21.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | DET | 55 over | +33.5 |
| 2026-10-29 | CAR | 13 under | −8.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 8 / 10 | 80% under | +6 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 80% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
8 books · 1 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 22.5
- FanDuel 21.5
- betPARX 21.5
- Hard Rock Bet 21.5
- Fliff 21.5
- Bally Bet 21.5
- PrizePicks 21.5
- Underdog 21.5
- DraftKings 22.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 21.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | vs CAR | 13 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | @ DET | 55 | over |
| 2025-12-27 | vs BAL | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-20 | @ CHI | 12 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ DEN | 19 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | vs CHI | 6 | under |
| 2025-11-27 | @ DET | 8 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ NYG | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-10 | vs PHI | 33 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs CAR | 13 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | @ PIT | 12 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ ARI | 3 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs CIN | 57 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | @ DAL | 71 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ CLE | 44 | over |
| 2025-09-11 | vs WAS | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | vs DET | 4 | under |