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Kenneth Walker III
KC @ DEN · Sun 4:25 PM ETReceiving Yards · 19.5 at Bally Bet ·
56Signal · under 19.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 4.5 a game recently
- vs DEN · ×0.96 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 18.5 yds against 19.5 · over 44%, under 56%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 19.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -44 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | IND | 2 under | −17.5 |
| 2025-12-18 | LA | 64 over | +44.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | CAR | 6 under | −13.5 |
| 2026-01-03 | SF | 36 over | +16.5 |
| 2026-09-14 | DEN | 18 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | IND | 61 over | +41.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | MIA | 3 under | −16.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | LV | 2 under | −17.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | LAC | 11 under | −8.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | SEA | 21 over | +1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | -3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
11 books · 2 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 20.5
- FanDuel 18.5
- Hard Rock Bet 19.5
- BetMGM 19.5
- betPARX 19.5
- BetRivers 19.5
- ESPN Bet 19.5
- Bally Bet 19.5
- PrizePicks 19.5
- Fanatics 20.5 (easiest number)
- DraftKings 20.5 (easiest number)
- DK Pick6 20.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- Bally BetMoved from 18.5 to 19.5
- BetMGMMoved from 20.5 to 19.5
- betPARXMoved from 18.5 to 19.5
- BetRiversMoved from 18.5 to 19.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 18.5 to 19.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 21.5 to 19.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 19.5 to 20.5
- DK Pick6Moved from 18.5 to 20.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 19.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | @ SEA | 21 | over |
| 2026-10-18 | vs LAC | 11 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ LV | 2 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ MIA | 3 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs IND | 61 | over |
| 2026-09-14 | vs DEN | 18 | under |
| 2026-01-03 | @ SF | 36 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ CAR | 6 | under |
| 2025-12-18 | vs LA | 64 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs IND | 2 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ ATL | -1 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs MIN | 18 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | @ TEN | 30 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | @ LA | 44 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | vs ARI | 3 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | @ WAS | 19 | under |
| 2025-10-20 | vs HOU | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ JAX | 3 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | vs TB | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-25 | @ ARI | 29 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | vs NO | 12 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ PIT | 13 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | vs SF | 4 | under |