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Kenneth Walker III
KC @ DEN · Sun 4:25 PM ETRushing Yards · 89.5 at ESPN Bet · median 87.5 ·
49Signal · over 89.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 20.0 a game recently
- vs DEN · ×0.98 yds per carry
Expected rushing yards: 114.9 yds against 89.5 · over 49%, under 51%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 89.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -72| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | IND | 17 under | −72.5 |
| 2025-12-18 | LA | 100 over | +10.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | CAR | 51 under | −38.5 |
| 2026-01-03 | SF | 97 over | +7.5 |
| 2026-09-14 | DEN | 173 over | +83.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | IND | 117 over | +27.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | MIA | 70 under | −19.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | LV | 177 over | +87.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | LAC | 128 over | +38.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | SEA | 36 under | −53.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +7 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
11 books · 4 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 85.5
- BetMGM 85.5 -115 (easiest number)
- betPARX 87.5 -114
- BetRivers 87.5 -114
- FanDuel 87.5 -114
- Bally Bet 87.5 -120
- Fliff 87.5 -120
- DraftKings 88.5 -113
- Hard Rock Bet 88.5 -115
- DK Pick6 88.5
- PrizePicks 88.5
- ESPN Bet 89.5 -110
Line movement
- BetMGMMoved from 84.5 to 85.5
- Bally BetMoved from 83.5 to 87.5
- betPARXMoved from 83.5 to 87.5
- BetRiversMoved from 83.5 to 87.5
- FanDuelMoved from 84.5 to 87.5
- FliffMoved from 83.5 to 87.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 83.5 to 88.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 84.5 to 88.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 82.5 to 88.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 89.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | @ SEA | 36 | under |
| 2026-10-18 | vs LAC | 128 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ LV | 177 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ MIA | 70 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs IND | 117 | over |
| 2026-09-14 | vs DEN | 173 | over |
| 2026-01-03 | @ SF | 97 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ CAR | 51 | under |
| 2025-12-18 | vs LA | 100 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs IND | 17 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ ATL | 29 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs MIN | 56 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | @ TEN | 71 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ LA | 67 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs ARI | 67 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | @ WAS | 42 | under |
| 2025-10-20 | vs HOU | 66 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ JAX | 34 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | vs TB | 86 | under |
| 2025-09-25 | @ ARI | 81 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs NO | 38 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ PIT | 105 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs SF | 20 | under |