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Khalil Herbert
ATL @ TB · Sun 1:00 PM ETCarries · 3.5 at Fliff ·
75%under3 / 4 · last 10
1 / 4Cleared the number in 1 of 4 games, 6 without a result
- Brian Robinson RB is listed Out (hamstring). He had 30% of ATL's carries this season, 8.8 a game over 6.
The game history below does not account for this absence.
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 4.0 a game recently → 4.7 this game
- Robinson out · +0.7 carries (8% of his 8.8)
Expected carries: 4.7 against 3.5 · over 49%, under 51%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 1 this season.
Last 10 games against 3.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -8.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2025-12-14 | JAX | 2 under | −1.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | NE | 2 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | BUF | 12 over | +8.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | SF | 2 under | −1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 3 / 4 | 75% under | -1 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 75% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
3.5Fliff· one book
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs SF | 2 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | @ BUF | 12 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | vs NE | 2 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ JAX | 2 | under |