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Jahan Dotson
ATL @ TB · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 24.5 · median of 7 books ·
51Signal · under 24.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 3.6 a game recently
- vs TB · ×0.99 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 34.1 yds against 24.5 · over 49%, under 51%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 24.5 · Dec 20, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -62 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | WAS | 13 under | −11.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | BUF | 0 under | −24.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | WAS | 40 over | +15.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | PIT | 19 under | −5.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | CAR | 11 under | −13.5 |
| 2026-09-24 | GB | 11 under | −13.5 |
| 2026-10-05 | NO | 54 over | +29.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | BAL | 54 over | +29.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | CHI | 87 over | +62.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | SF | 6 under | −18.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | -5 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
7 books · 1 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 25.5
- BetMGM 24.5
- DraftKings 24.5
- DK Pick6 24.5
- PrizePicks 24.5
- FanDuel 25.5 (easiest number)
- Fanatics 25.5 (easiest number)
- Hard Rock Bet 25.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 23.5 to 24.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 23.5 to 24.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 23.5 to 25.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 24.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs SF | 6 | under |
| 2026-10-18 | vs CHI | 87 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs BAL | 54 | over |
| 2026-10-05 | @ NO | 54 | over |
| 2026-09-24 | @ GB | 11 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs CAR | 11 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ PIT | 19 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs WAS | 40 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ BUF | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-20 | @ WAS | 13 | under |
| 2025-12-08 | @ LAC | 3 | under |
| 2025-11-28 | vs CHI | 12 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | @ DAL | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs DET | 43 | over |
| 2025-11-10 | @ GB | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs NYG | 40 | over |
| 2025-10-09 | @ NYG | 17 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | vs DEN | 24 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs LA | 7 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ KC | 4 | under |
| 2025-09-04 | vs DAL | 59 | over |