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Kimani Vidal
LAC @ LA · Sun 4:05 PM ETCarries · 5.5 at Underdog ·
55Signal · under 5.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 5.3 a game recently
Expected carries: 5.3 against 5.5 · over 45%, under 55%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 4 this season.
Last 10 games against 5.5 · Nov 16, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -4.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 | JAX | 5 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-11-30 | LV | 25 over | +19.5 |
| 2025-12-08 | PHI | 14 over | +8.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | KC | 12 over | +6.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | DAL | 5 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | DEN | 3 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | BUF | 1 under | −4.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | SEA | 5 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | DEN | 8 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | KC | 7 over | +1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
5.52 books, no line disagreementPP · UD
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 5.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ KC | 7 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs DEN | 8 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ SEA | 5 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ BUF | 1 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | @ DEN | 3 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | @ DAL | 5 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ KC | 12 | over |
| 2025-12-08 | vs PHI | 14 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | vs LV | 25 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | @ JAX | 5 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs PIT | 25 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | @ TEN | 12 | over |
| 2025-10-23 | vs MIN | 23 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | vs IND | 9 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ MIA | 18 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | vs WAS | 4 | under |