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Kimani Vidal
LAC @ LA · Sun 4:05 PM ETReceptions · 1.5 at betPARX ·
53Signal · under 1.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 10Cleared the number in 3 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 3.0 a game recently
Expected receptions: 1.8 against 1.5 · over 47%, under 53%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 4 this season.
Last 10 games against 1.5 · Nov 16, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -1.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 | JAX | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-11-30 | LV | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-08 | PHI | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | KC | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | DAL | 0 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | DEN | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | BUF | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | SEA | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | DEN | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | KC | 3 over | +1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% under | +0.2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
1.59 books, no line disagreementDK · ESPN · PX2 · MGM · BR · BB · FD · HR · PK6
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ KC | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs DEN | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ SEA | 2 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ BUF | 1 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | @ DEN | 1 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | @ DAL | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ KC | 1 | under |
| 2025-12-08 | vs PHI | 1 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs LV | 1 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ JAX | 2 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | vs PIT | 1 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | @ TEN | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-23 | vs MIN | 1 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | vs IND | 4 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ MIA | 3 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | vs WAS | 1 | under |