Kirk Cousins

LV @ NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Rushing Yards · 0.5 at Hard Rock Bet ·

53Signal · under 0.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance

4 / 10

How the formula reads this game

carries: 2.1 a game recently

Expected rushing yards: 0.6 yds against 0.5 · over 47%, under 53%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.

Last 10 games against 0.5 · Dec 21, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026

Worst miss -5 on the under

Each game against 0.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
2025-12-21	ARI	-3 under	−3.5
2025-12-29	LA	1 over	+0.5
2026-01-04	NO	0 under	−0.5
2026-09-13	MIA	-6 under	−6.5
2026-09-20	LAC	1 over	+0.5
2026-09-27	NO	3 over	+2.5
2026-10-04	KC	0 under	−0.5
2026-10-11	NE	0 under	−0.5
2026-10-18	BUF	0 under	−0.5
2026-10-25	LA	6 over	+5.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	6 / 10	60% under	0
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Away (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

0.53 books, no line disagreementDK · HR · FD

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 0.5
2026-10-25	vs LA	6	over
2026-10-18	vs BUF	0	under
2026-10-11	@ NE	0	under
2026-10-04	vs KC	0	under
2026-09-27	@ NO	3	over
2026-09-20	@ LAC	1	over
2026-09-13	vs MIA	-6	under
2026-01-04	vs NO	0	under
2025-12-29	vs LA	1	over
2025-12-21	@ ARI	-3	under
2025-12-11	@ TB	0	under
2025-12-07	vs SEA	0	under
2025-11-30	@ NYJ	0	under
2025-11-23	@ NO	5	over
2025-11-16	vs CAR	2	over
2025-10-26	vs MIA	2	over
2025-09-21	@ CAR	0	under