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Lamar Jackson
BAL vs CIN · Sun 1:00 PM ETCompletions · 17.5 at PrizePicks ·
54Signal · under 17.580% · 8 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
2 / 10Cleared the number in 2 of 10 games
PrizePicks 17.5 ·
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 24.0 a game recently
Expected completions: 17.0 against 17.5 · over 46%, under 54%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 4 this season.
Last 10 games against 17.5 · Nov 23, 2025 – Oct 4, 2026
Worst miss -3.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-23 | NYJ | 13 under | −4.5 |
| 2025-11-27 | CIN | 17 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | PIT | 19 over | +1.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | CIN | 8 under | −9.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | NE | 7 under | −10.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | PIT | 11 under | −6.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | IND | 17 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | NO | 21 over | +3.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | DAL | 15 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | TEN | 15 under | −2.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 8 / 10 | 80% under | +3.2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 80% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
17.5PrizePicks· one book
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | vs TEN | 15 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ DAL | 15 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs NO | 21 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ IND | 17 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | @ PIT | 11 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs NE | 7 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ CIN | 8 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | vs PIT | 19 | over |
| 2025-11-27 | vs CIN | 17 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs NYJ | 13 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ CLE | 14 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ MIN | 17 | under |
| 2025-10-30 | @ MIA | 18 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | @ KC | 14 | under |
| 2025-09-22 | vs DET | 21 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | vs CLE | 19 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ BUF | 14 | under |