Lamar Jackson

BAL vs CIN · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Pass Attempts · 26.5 at PrizePicks ·

57Signal · under 26.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance

3 / 10

PrizePicks 26.5 ·

How the formula reads this game

pass attempts: 24.0 a game recently

Expected pass attempts: 24.0 against 26.5 · over 43%, under 57%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 4 this season.

Last 10 games against 26.5 · Nov 23, 2025 – Oct 4, 2026

Worst miss -8.5 on the under

Each game against 26.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
2025-11-23	NYJ	23 under	−3.5
2025-11-27	CIN	32 over	+5.5
2025-12-07	PIT	35 over	+8.5
2025-12-14	CIN	12 under	−14.5
2025-12-21	NE	10 under	−16.5
2026-01-04	PIT	18 under	−8.5
2026-09-13	IND	25 under	−1.5
2026-09-20	NO	31 over	+4.5
2026-09-27	DAL	20 under	−6.5
2026-10-04	TEN	20 under	−6.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	7 / 10	70% under	+3.9
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Home (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range

26.5PrizePicks· one book

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 26.5
2026-10-04	vs TEN	20	under
2026-09-27	@ DAL	20	under
2026-09-20	vs NO	31	over
2026-09-13	@ IND	25	under
2026-01-04	@ PIT	18	under
2025-12-21	vs NE	10	under
2025-12-14	@ CIN	12	under
2025-12-07	vs PIT	35	over
2025-11-27	vs CIN	32	over
2025-11-23	vs NYJ	23	under
2025-11-16	@ CLE	25	under
2025-11-09	@ MIN	29	over
2025-10-30	@ MIA	23	under
2025-09-28	@ KC	20	under
2025-09-22	vs DET	27	over
2025-09-14	vs CLE	29	over
2025-09-07	@ BUF	19	under