Malik Willis

MIA vs NE · Sun 4:25 PM ET

Pass Attempts · 27.5 at DraftKings ·

56Signal · under 27.590% · 9 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance

1 / 10

3 straight under

How the formula reads this game

pass attempts: 25.2 a game recently

Expected pass attempts: 25.2 against 27.5 · over 44%, under 56%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.

Last 10 games against 27.5 · Nov 16, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026

Worst miss -8.5 on the under

Each game against 27.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
2025-11-16	NYG	2 under	−25.5
2025-11-23	MIN	1 under	−26.5
2025-12-20	CHI	11 under	−16.5
2025-12-27	BAL	21 under	−6.5
2026-09-13	LV	27 under	−0.5
2026-09-20	SF	23 under	−4.5
2026-09-27	KC	36 over	+8.5
2026-10-04	MIN	17 under	−10.5
2026-10-11	CIN	27 under	−0.5
2026-10-25	NYJ	21 under	−6.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	9 / 10	90% under	+8.9
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Home (with DPB Pro)	Pro

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Book Range

8 books · 1 spreadEasiest number for the under: 28.5

Line movement

Bally BetMoved from 28.5 to 27.5
betPARXMoved from 28.5 to 27.5
DraftKingsMoved from 28.5 to 27.5

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 27.5
2026-10-25	@ NYJ	21	under
2026-10-11	vs CIN	27	under
2026-10-04	@ MIN	17	under
2026-09-27	vs KC	36	over
2026-09-20	@ SF	23	under
2026-09-13	@ LV	27	under
2025-12-27	vs BAL	21	under
2025-12-20	@ CHI	11	under
2025-11-23	vs MIN	1	under
2025-11-16	@ NYG	2	under