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Marvin Harrison Jr.

HOU vs NYG · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Receptions · 2.5 at Underdog ·

57Signal · over 2.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games

How the formula reads this game

  • targets: 3.6 a game recently

Expected receptions: 2.0 against 2.5 · over 43%, under 57%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 8 games, 1 this season.

Last 10 games against 2.5 · Nov 3, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026

Worst miss -2.5
2.52025-11-03 at DAL: 7, over 2.5 by 4.57DAL2025-11-09 at SEA: 3, over 2.5 by 0.53SEA2025-11-30 at TB: 6, over 2.5 by 3.56TB2025-12-21 vs ATL: 1, under 2.5 by 1.51ATL2025-12-28 at CIN: 0, under 2.5 by 2.50CIN2026-09-13 at LAC: 1, under 2.5 by 1.51LAC2026-09-20 vs SEA: 0, under 2.5 by 2.50SEA2026-09-27 at SF: 3, over 2.5 by 0.53SF2026-10-04 at NYG: 1, under 2.5 by 1.51NYG2026-10-18 at JAX: 3, over 2.5 by 0.53JAX
Each game against 2.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-11-03DAL7 over+4.5
2025-11-09SEA3 over+0.5
2025-11-30TB6 over+3.5
2025-12-21ATL1 under−1.5
2025-12-28CIN0 under−2.5
2026-09-13LAC1 under−1.5
2026-09-20SEA0 under−2.5
2026-09-27SF3 over+0.5
2026-10-04NYG1 under−1.5
2026-10-18JAX3 over+0.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 105 / 1050%0
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

2.511 books, no line disagreementPX2 · MGM · BR · FD · BB · HR · DK · FL · ESPN · PP · UD

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 2.5
2026-10-18@ JAX3over
2026-10-04@ NYG1under
2026-09-27@ SF3over
2026-09-20vs SEA0under
2026-09-13@ LAC1under
2025-12-28@ CIN0under
2025-12-21vs ATL1under
2025-11-30@ TB6over
2025-11-09@ SEA3over
2025-11-03@ DAL7over
2025-10-19vs GB2under
2025-10-12@ IND2under
2025-10-05vs TEN4over
2025-09-25vs SEA6over
2025-09-21@ SF3over
2025-09-14vs CAR2under
2025-09-07@ NO5over