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Ollie Gordon II
MIA vs NE · Sun 4:25 PM ETRushing Yards · 59.5 at PrizePicks ·
53Signal · under 59.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 10Cleared the number in 3 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 14.4 a game recently
Expected rushing yards: 67.8 yds against 59.5 · over 47%, under 53%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 59.5 · Nov 30, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -43 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | NO | 10 under | −49.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | NYJ | 17 under | −42.5 |
| 2025-12-15 | PIT | 0 under | −59.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | CIN | -1 under | −60.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | NE | 9 under | −50.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | SF | 7 under | −52.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | KC | 41 under | −18.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | MIN | 100 over | +40.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | CIN | 88 over | +28.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | NYJ | 103 over | +43.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% under | +22 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
11 books · 3 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 61.5
- BetMGM 58.5
- Bally Bet 59.5
- betPARX 59.5
- BetRivers 59.5
- PrizePicks 59.5
- Underdog 59.5
- FanDuel 60.5
- Hard Rock Bet 60.5
- ESPN Bet 61.5 (easiest number)
- DraftKings 61.5 (easiest number)
- DK Pick6 61.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- BetMGMMoved from 59.5 to 58.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 55.5 to 59.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 59.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | @ NYJ | 103 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs CIN | 88 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ MIN | 100 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs KC | 41 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ SF | 7 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | @ NE | 9 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs CIN | -1 | under |
| 2025-12-15 | @ PIT | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ NYJ | 17 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs NO | 10 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs WAS | 45 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs BUF | -3 | under |
| 2025-10-30 | vs BAL | 6 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | @ ATL | 46 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ CLE | 11 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs LAC | 1 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ CAR | -2 | under |
| 2025-09-29 | vs NYJ | 10 | under |
| 2025-09-18 | @ BUF | 38 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs NE | 8 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ IND | 4 | under |