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Parker Washington
JAX vs IND · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 69.5 at Underdog · median 68.5 ·
46Signal · over 69.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 7.7 a game recently
- vs IND · ×1.01 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 70.3 yds against 69.5 · over 46%, under 54%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 69.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -62| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | NYJ | 53 under | −16.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | DEN | 145 over | +75.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | IND | 115 over | +45.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | TEN | 87 over | +17.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | CLE | 83 over | +13.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | DEN | 98 over | +28.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NE | 40 under | −29.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | CIN | 7 under | −62.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | PHI | 124 over | +54.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | HOU | 64 under | −5.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +12 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
2 books · 1 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 68.5
- PrizePicks 68.5 (easiest number)
- Underdog 69.5
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 69.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs HOU | 64 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs PHI | 124 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ CIN | 7 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs NE | 40 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ DEN | 98 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs CLE | 83 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | vs TEN | 87 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ IND | 115 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | @ DEN | 145 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs NYJ | 53 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | @ TEN | 26 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | @ ARI | 71 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs LAC | 20 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ HOU | 33 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | @ LV | 90 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | vs LA | 52 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs SEA | 29 | under |
| 2025-10-06 | vs KC | 16 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | @ SF | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs HOU | 34 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ CIN | 76 | over |