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Puka Nacua

LA vs LAC · Sun 4:05 PM ET

Rush + Rec Yards · 100.5 · median of 4 books ·

55Signal · over 100.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games

How the formula reads this game

  • carries: 1.0 a game recently
  • targets: 12.4 a game recently
  • vs LAC · ×0.99 yds per target

Expected rush + rec yards: 100.6 yds against 100.5 · over 45%, under 55%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.

Last 10 games against 100.5 · Dec 7, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026

Worst miss -53
100.52025-12-07 at ARI: 167, over 100.5 by 66.5 yds167ARI2025-12-14 vs DET: 189, over 100.5 by 88.5 yds189DET2025-12-18 at SEA: 225, over 100.5 by 124.5 yds225SEA2025-12-29 at ATL: 47, under 100.5 by 53.5 yds47ATL2026-01-04 vs ARI: 100, under 100.5 by 0.5 yds100ARI2026-09-10 vs SF: 74, under 100.5 by 26.5 yds74SF2026-10-04 at PHI: 127, over 100.5 by 26.5 yds127PHI2026-10-12 vs BUF: 147, over 100.5 by 46.5 yds147BUF2026-10-18 vs ARI: 80, under 100.5 by 20.5 yds80ARI2026-10-25 at LV: 78, under 100.5 by 22.5 yds78LV
Each game against 100.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-12-07ARI167 over+66.5
2025-12-14DET189 over+88.5
2025-12-18SEA225 over+124.5
2025-12-29ATL47 under−53.5
2026-01-04ARI100 under−0.5
2026-09-10SF74 under−26.5
2026-10-04PHI127 over+26.5
2026-10-12BUF147 over+46.5
2026-10-18ARI80 under−20.5
2026-10-25LV78 under−22.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 105 / 1050%+23
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

4 books · 1 yds spread
  • DraftKings 100.5
  • Hard Rock Bet 100.5
  • PrizePicks 100.5
  • FanDuel 101.5

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 100.5
2026-10-25@ LV78under
2026-10-18vs ARI80under
2026-10-12vs BUF147over
2026-10-04@ PHI127over
2026-09-10vs SF74under
2026-01-04vs ARI100under
2025-12-29@ ATL47under
2025-12-18@ SEA225over
2025-12-14vs DET189over
2025-12-07@ ARI167over
2025-11-30@ CAR72under
2025-11-23vs TB97under
2025-11-16vs SEA93under
2025-11-09@ SF64under
2025-11-02vs NO98under
2025-10-12@ BAL28under
2025-10-02vs SF85under
2025-09-28vs IND170over
2025-09-21@ PHI118over
2025-09-14@ TEN136over
2025-09-07vs HOU131over