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Puka Nacua
LA vs LAC · Sun 4:05 PM ETRush + Rec Yards · 100.5 at Hard Rock Bet ·
55Signal · over 100.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 1.0 a game recently
- targets: 12.4 a game recently
- vs LAC · ×0.99 yds per target
Expected rush + rec yards: 100.6 yds against 100.5 · over 45%, under 55%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 100.5 · Dec 7, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -53| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | ARI | 167 over | +66.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | DET | 189 over | +88.5 |
| 2025-12-18 | SEA | 225 over | +124.5 |
| 2025-12-29 | ATL | 47 under | −53.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | ARI | 100 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-10 | SF | 74 under | −26.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | PHI | 127 over | +26.5 |
| 2026-10-12 | BUF | 147 over | +46.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | ARI | 80 under | −20.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | LV | 78 under | −22.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +23 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
4 books · 1 yds spread
- DraftKings 100.5
- Hard Rock Bet 100.5
- PrizePicks 100.5
- FanDuel 101.5
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 100.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | @ LV | 78 | under |
| 2026-10-18 | vs ARI | 80 | under |
| 2026-10-12 | vs BUF | 147 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ PHI | 127 | over |
| 2026-09-10 | vs SF | 74 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs ARI | 100 | under |
| 2025-12-29 | @ ATL | 47 | under |
| 2025-12-18 | @ SEA | 225 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs DET | 189 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | @ ARI | 167 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | @ CAR | 72 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs TB | 97 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs SEA | 93 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ SF | 64 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs NO | 98 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ BAL | 28 | under |
| 2025-10-02 | vs SF | 85 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs IND | 170 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ PHI | 118 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | @ TEN | 136 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs HOU | 131 | over |