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Rashee Rice
KC @ DEN · Sun 4:25 PM ETReceiving Yards · 49.5 at Underdog · median 52.5 ·
48Signal · over 49.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
7 / 10Cleared the number in 7 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 5.7 a game recently
- vs DEN · ×0.96 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 60.7 yds against 49.5 · over 48%, under 52%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 3 this season.
Last 10 games against 49.5 · Oct 27, 2025 – Sep 27, 2026
Worst miss -30| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | WAS | 93 over | +43.5 |
| 2025-11-02 | BUF | 80 over | +30.5 |
| 2025-11-16 | DEN | 38 under | −11.5 |
| 2025-11-23 | IND | 141 over | +91.5 |
| 2025-11-27 | DAL | 92 over | +42.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | HOU | 34 under | −15.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | LAC | 51 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-14 | DEN | 19 under | −30.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | IND | 83 over | +33.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | MIA | 88 over | +38.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% over | +22 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
6 books · 3 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 49.5
- Underdog 49.5 (easiest number)
- DraftKings 52.5 -110
- FanDuel 52.5 -114
- Hard Rock Bet 52.5 -115
- Fliff 52.5 -120
- PrizePicks 52.5
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 49.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | @ MIA | 88 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs IND | 83 | over |
| 2026-09-14 | vs DEN | 19 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | vs LAC | 51 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | vs HOU | 34 | under |
| 2025-11-27 | @ DAL | 92 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs IND | 141 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | @ DEN | 38 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | @ BUF | 80 | over |
| 2025-10-27 | vs WAS | 93 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | vs LV | 42 | under |