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Rashee Rice
KC @ DEN · Sun 4:25 PM ETReceptions · 4.5 at DraftKings ·
46Signal · over 4.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 5.7 a game recently
Expected receptions: 4.3 against 4.5 · over 46%, under 54%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 3 this season.
Last 10 games against 4.5 · Oct 27, 2025 – Sep 27, 2026
Worst miss -2.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | WAS | 9 over | +4.5 |
| 2025-11-02 | BUF | 4 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-11-16 | DEN | 6 over | +1.5 |
| 2025-11-23 | IND | 8 over | +3.5 |
| 2025-11-27 | DAL | 8 over | +3.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | HOU | 4 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | LAC | 7 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-09-14 | DEN | 2 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | IND | 4 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | MIA | 7 over | +2.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +1.4 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
4.56 books, no line disagreementDK · HR · FD · FL · PP · UD· best price at 4.5: DK -112
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | @ MIA | 7 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs IND | 4 | under |
| 2026-09-14 | vs DEN | 2 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | vs LAC | 7 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | vs HOU | 4 | under |
| 2025-11-27 | @ DAL | 8 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs IND | 8 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | @ DEN | 6 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | @ BUF | 4 | under |
| 2025-10-27 | vs WAS | 9 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | vs LV | 7 | over |