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Rashid Shaheed

SEA vs KC · Sun 8:20 PM ET

Receiving Yards · 25.5 · median of 10 books ·

55Signal · under 25.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 10Cleared the number in 3 of 10 games

How the formula reads this game

  • targets: 4.5 a game recently
  • vs KC · ×0.96 yds per target

Expected receiving yards: 25.9 yds against 25.5 · over 45%, under 55%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.

Last 10 games against 25.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 15, 2026

Worst miss -48 on the under
25.52025-12-14 vs IND: 74, over 25.5 by 48.5 yds74IND2025-12-18 vs LA: 0, under 25.5 by 25.5 yds0LA2025-12-28 at CAR: 8, under 25.5 by 17.5 yds8CAR2026-01-03 at SF: 2, under 25.5 by 23.5 yds2SF2026-09-09 vs NE: 4, under 25.5 by 21.5 yds4NE2026-09-20 at ARI: 35, over 25.5 by 9.5 yds35ARI2026-09-27 at WAS: 14, under 25.5 by 11.5 yds14WAS2026-10-04 vs LAC: 20, under 25.5 by 5.5 yds20LAC2026-10-11 vs SF: 23, under 25.5 by 2.5 yds23SF2026-10-15 at DEN: 66, over 25.5 by 40.5 yds66DEN
Each game against 25.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-12-14IND74 over+48.5
2025-12-18LA0 under−25.5
2025-12-28CAR8 under−17.5
2026-01-03SF2 under−23.5
2026-09-09NE4 under−21.5
2026-09-20ARI35 over+9.5
2026-09-27WAS14 under−11.5
2026-10-04LAC20 under−5.5
2026-10-11SF23 under−2.5
2026-10-15DEN66 over+40.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 107 / 1070% under+1
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

10 books · 2 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 26.5
  • BetMGM 24.5
  • ESPN Bet 24.5
  • DraftKings 25.5
  • FanDuel 25.5
  • Hard Rock Bet 25.5
  • Fliff 25.5
  • PrizePicks 25.5
  • betPARX 26.5 (easiest number)
  • BetRivers 26.5 (easiest number)
  • Bally Bet 26.5 (easiest number)

Line movement

  • PrizePicksMoved from 23.5 to 25.5

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 25.5
2026-10-15@ DEN66over
2026-10-11vs SF23under
2026-10-04vs LAC20under
2026-09-27@ WAS14under
2026-09-20@ ARI35over
2026-09-09vs NE4under
2026-01-03@ SF2under
2025-12-28@ CAR8under
2025-12-18vs LA0under
2025-12-14vs IND74over
2025-12-07@ ATL67over
2025-11-30vs MIN7under
2025-11-23@ TEN0under
2025-11-16@ LA27over
2025-11-09vs ARI3under
2025-11-02@ LA68over
2025-10-26vs TB75over
2025-10-19@ CHI40over
2025-10-12vs NE28over
2025-10-05vs NYG114over
2025-09-28@ BUF47over
2025-09-21@ SEA42over
2025-09-14vs SF52over
2025-09-07vs ARI33over