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Rashid Shaheed

SEA vs KC · Sun 8:20 PM ET

Receptions · 2.5 · median of 9 books ·

55Signal · under 2.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 10Cleared the number in 3 of 10 games

How the formula reads this game

  • targets: 4.5 a game recently

Expected receptions: 2.3 against 2.5 · over 45%, under 55%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.

Last 10 games against 2.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 15, 2026

Worst miss -2.5 on the under
2.52025-12-14 vs IND: 5, over 2.5 by 2.55IND2025-12-18 vs LA: 0, under 2.5 by 2.50LA2025-12-28 at CAR: 1, under 2.5 by 1.51CAR2026-01-03 at SF: 1, under 2.5 by 1.51SF2026-09-09 vs NE: 1, under 2.5 by 1.51NE2026-09-20 at ARI: 3, over 2.5 by 0.53ARI2026-09-27 at WAS: 2, under 2.5 by 0.52WAS2026-10-04 vs LAC: 1, under 2.5 by 1.51LAC2026-10-11 vs SF: 2, under 2.5 by 0.52SF2026-10-15 at DEN: 5, over 2.5 by 2.55DEN
Each game against 2.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-12-14IND5 over+2.5
2025-12-18LA0 under−2.5
2025-12-28CAR1 under−1.5
2026-01-03SF1 under−1.5
2026-09-09NE1 under−1.5
2026-09-20ARI3 over+0.5
2026-09-27WAS2 under−0.5
2026-10-04LAC1 under−1.5
2026-10-11SF2 under−0.5
2026-10-15DEN5 over+2.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 107 / 1070% under+0.4
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

2.59 books, no line disagreementPX2 · BR · BB · MGM · DK · HR · FD · ESPN · FL

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 2.5
2026-10-15@ DEN5over
2026-10-11vs SF2under
2026-10-04vs LAC1under
2026-09-27@ WAS2under
2026-09-20@ ARI3over
2026-09-09vs NE1under
2026-01-03@ SF1under
2025-12-28@ CAR1under
2025-12-18vs LA0under
2025-12-14vs IND5over
2025-12-07@ ATL4over
2025-11-30vs MIN1under
2025-11-23@ TEN0under
2025-11-16@ LA2under
2025-11-09vs ARI1under
2025-11-02@ LA5over
2025-10-26vs TB9over
2025-10-19@ CHI4over
2025-10-12vs NE4over
2025-10-05vs NYG4over
2025-09-28@ BUF4over
2025-09-21@ SEA4over
2025-09-14vs SF4over
2025-09-07vs ARI6over