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Rhamondre Stevenson
NE @ CHI · Thu 8:15 PM ETReceiving Yards · 16.5 at Bally Bet · median 17.5 ·
70%over7 / 10 · last 10
7 / 10Cleared the number in 7 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 3.2 a game recently
- vs CHI · ×0.99 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 18.2 yds against 16.5 · over 45%, under 55%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 16.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -16| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | BUF | 27 over | +10.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | BAL | 27 over | +10.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | NYJ | 55 over | +38.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | MIA | 22 over | +5.5 |
| 2026-09-09 | SEA | 44 over | +27.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | PIT | 3 under | −13.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | JAX | 16 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | BUF | 27 over | +10.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | LV | 21 over | +4.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NYJ | 0 under | −16.5 |
The ten-game rate rests on an average clearance under one unit of the stat: a thin habit rather than a wide one.
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% over | +8 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
11 books · 3 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 16.5 · best price PX2 -118
- betPARX 16.5 -118 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
- BetRivers 16.5 -120 (easiest number)
- Bally Bet 16.5 -122 (easiest number)
- DraftKings 17.5 -113
- FanDuel 17.5 -113
- BetMGM 17.5 -115
- Hard Rock Bet 17.5 -115
- Fliff 17.5 -125
- DK Pick6 17.5
- PrizePicks 17.5
- ESPN Bet 19.5 +105
Line movement
- Bally BetMoved from 17.5 to 16.5
- betPARXMoved from 17.5 to 16.5
- BetRiversMoved from 17.5 to 16.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 18.5 to 17.5
- FliffMoved from 18.5 to 17.5
- DK Pick6Moved from 18.5 to 17.5
- ESPN BetMoved from 18.5 to 19.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs NYJ | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs LV | 21 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ BUF | 27 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ JAX | 16 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs PIT | 3 | under |
| 2026-09-09 | @ SEA | 44 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | vs MIA | 22 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ NYJ | 55 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | @ BAL | 27 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs BUF | 27 | over |
| 2025-12-01 | vs NYG | 40 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | @ CIN | 5 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs CLE | 15 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ TEN | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ NO | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ BUF | 13 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs CAR | 3 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs PIT | 38 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | @ MIA | 88 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs LV | 12 | under |