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Rhamondre Stevenson
NE @ CHI · Thu 8:15 PM ETRush + Rec Yards · 61.5 at betPARX · median 64.5 ·
70%over7 / 10 · last 10
7 / 10Cleared the number in 7 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 11.8 a game recently
- targets: 3.2 a game recently
- vs CHI · ×1.02 yds per carry
- vs CHI · ×0.99 yds per target
Expected rush + rec yards: 63.0 yds against 61.5 · over 46%, under 54%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 61.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -25| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | BUF | 77 over | +15.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | BAL | 78 over | +16.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | NYJ | 102 over | +40.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | MIA | 153 over | +91.5 |
| 2026-09-09 | SEA | 95 over | +33.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | PIT | 46 under | −15.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | JAX | 38 under | −23.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | BUF | 74 over | +12.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | LV | 85 over | +23.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NYJ | 36 under | −25.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% over | +17 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
10 books · 6 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 61.5 · best price BB, PX2, BR -117
- Bally Bet 61.5 -117 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
- betPARX 61.5 -117 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
- BetRivers 61.5 -117 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
- FanDuel 64.5 -113
- Underdog 64.5
- BetMGM 65.5 -115
- Hard Rock Bet 65.5 -115
- Fliff 65.5 -125
- DraftKings 67.5 -115
- PrizePicks 67.5
Line movement
- Bally BetMoved from 65.5 to 61.5
- betPARXMoved from 65.5 to 61.5
- BetRiversMoved from 65.5 to 61.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 64.5 to 65.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 64.5 to 67.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 64.5 to 67.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 61.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs NYJ | 36 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs LV | 85 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ BUF | 74 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ JAX | 38 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs PIT | 46 | under |
| 2026-09-09 | @ SEA | 95 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | vs MIA | 153 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ NYJ | 102 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | @ BAL | 78 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs BUF | 77 | over |
| 2025-12-01 | vs NYG | 80 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | @ CIN | 10 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs CLE | 49 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ TEN | 88 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ NO | 18 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ BUF | 27 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs CAR | 41 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs PIT | 56 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ MIA | 142 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs LV | 27 | under |