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Rome Odunze

CHI vs NE · Thu 8:15 PM ET

Receiving Yards · 44.5 · median of 11 books ·

53Signal · under 44.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games

How the formula reads this game

  • targets: 5.5 a game recently
  • vs NE · ×0.97 yds per target

Expected receiving yards: 50.5 yds against 44.5 · over 47%, under 53%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.

Last 10 games against 44.5 · Nov 9, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026

Worst miss -49 on the under
44.52025-11-09 vs NYG: 86, over 44.5 by 41.5 yds86NYG2025-11-16 at MIN: 41, under 44.5 by 3.5 yds41MIN2025-11-23 vs PIT: 53, over 44.5 by 8.5 yds53PIT2025-11-28 at PHI: 8, under 44.5 by 36.5 yds8PHI2026-09-13 at CAR: 52, over 44.5 by 7.5 yds52CAR2026-09-20 vs MIN: 43, under 44.5 by 1.5 yds43MIN2026-09-28 vs PHI: 44, under 44.5 by 0.5 yds44PHI2026-10-04 vs NYJ: 94, over 44.5 by 49.5 yds94NYJ2026-10-11 at GB: 40, under 44.5 by 4.5 yds40GB2026-10-18 at ATL: 39, under 44.5 by 5.5 yds39ATL
Each game against 44.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-11-09NYG86 over+41.5
2025-11-16MIN41 under−3.5
2025-11-23PIT53 over+8.5
2025-11-28PHI8 under−36.5
2026-09-13CAR52 over+7.5
2026-09-20MIN43 under−1.5
2026-09-28PHI44 under−0.5
2026-10-04NYJ94 over+49.5
2026-10-11GB40 under−4.5
2026-10-18ATL39 under−5.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 106 / 1060% under-5
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

11 books · 4 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 46.5
  • DraftKings 42.5
  • DK Pick6 42.5
  • ESPN Bet 44.5
  • FanDuel 44.5
  • betPARX 44.5
  • BetRivers 44.5
  • Hard Rock Bet 44.5
  • Bally Bet 44.5
  • Fliff 44.5
  • PrizePicks 44.5
  • BetMGM 46.5 (easiest number)

Line movement

  • DraftKingsMoved from 44.5 to 42.5
  • DK Pick6Moved from 45.5 to 42.5
  • Bally BetMoved from 47.5 to 44.5
  • betPARXMoved from 47.5 to 44.5
  • BetRiversMoved from 47.5 to 44.5
  • FanDuelMoved from 45.5 to 44.5
  • FliffMoved from 45.5 to 44.5
  • Hard Rock BetMoved from 45.5 to 44.5
  • BetMGMMoved from 45.5 to 46.5

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 44.5
2026-10-18@ ATL39under
2026-10-11@ GB40under
2026-10-04vs NYJ94over
2026-09-28vs PHI44under
2026-09-20vs MIN43under
2026-09-13@ CAR52over
2025-11-28@ PHI8under
2025-11-23vs PIT53over
2025-11-16@ MIN41under
2025-11-09vs NYG86over
2025-11-02@ CIN0under
2025-10-26@ BAL114over
2025-10-19vs NO31under
2025-10-13@ WAS32under
2025-09-28@ LV69over
2025-09-21vs DAL62over
2025-09-14@ DET128over
2025-09-08vs MIN37under