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Rome Odunze

CHI vs NE · Thu 8:15 PM ET

Receiving Yards · 42.5 at DK Pick6 · median 44.5 ·

60%over6 / 10 · last 10
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games

How the formula reads this game

  • targets: 5.5 a game recently
  • vs NE · ×0.97 yds per target

Expected receiving yards: 50.5 yds against 42.5 · over 47%, under 53%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.

Last 10 games against 42.5 · Nov 9, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026

Worst miss -34
42.52025-11-09 vs NYG: 86, over 42.5 by 43.5 yds86NYG2025-11-16 at MIN: 41, under 42.5 by 1.5 yds41MIN2025-11-23 vs PIT: 53, over 42.5 by 10.5 yds53PIT2025-11-28 at PHI: 8, under 42.5 by 34.5 yds8PHI2026-09-13 at CAR: 52, over 42.5 by 9.5 yds52CAR2026-09-20 vs MIN: 43, over 42.5 by 0.5 yds43MIN2026-09-28 vs PHI: 44, over 42.5 by 1.5 yds44PHI2026-10-04 vs NYJ: 94, over 42.5 by 51.5 yds94NYJ2026-10-11 at GB: 40, under 42.5 by 2.5 yds40GB2026-10-18 at ATL: 39, under 42.5 by 3.5 yds39ATL
Each game against 42.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-11-09NYG86 over+43.5
2025-11-16MIN41 under−1.5
2025-11-23PIT53 over+10.5
2025-11-28PHI8 under−34.5
2026-09-13CAR52 over+9.5
2026-09-20MIN43 over+0.5
2026-09-28PHI44 over+1.5
2026-10-04NYJ94 over+51.5
2026-10-11GB40 under−2.5
2026-10-18ATL39 under−3.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the over
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 106 / 1060% over+8
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

11 books · 4 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 42.5
  • DraftKings 42.5 -114 (easiest number)
  • DK Pick6 42.5 (easiest number)
  • ESPN Bet 44.5 -105
  • FanDuel 44.5 -113
  • betPARX 44.5 -114
  • BetRivers 44.5 -115
  • Hard Rock Bet 44.5 -115
  • Bally Bet 44.5 -120
  • Fliff 44.5 -120
  • PrizePicks 44.5
  • BetMGM 46.5 -115

Line movement

  • DraftKingsMoved from 44.5 to 42.5
  • DK Pick6Moved from 45.5 to 42.5
  • Bally BetMoved from 47.5 to 44.5
  • betPARXMoved from 47.5 to 44.5
  • BetRiversMoved from 47.5 to 44.5
  • FanDuelMoved from 45.5 to 44.5
  • FliffMoved from 45.5 to 44.5
  • Hard Rock BetMoved from 45.5 to 44.5
  • BetMGMMoved from 45.5 to 46.5

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 42.5
2026-10-18@ ATL39under
2026-10-11@ GB40under
2026-10-04vs NYJ94over
2026-09-28vs PHI44over
2026-09-20vs MIN43over
2026-09-13@ CAR52over
2025-11-28@ PHI8under
2025-11-23vs PIT53over
2025-11-16@ MIN41under
2025-11-09vs NYG86over
2025-11-02@ CIN0under
2025-10-26@ BAL114over
2025-10-19vs NO31under
2025-10-13@ WAS32under
2025-09-28@ LV69over
2025-09-21vs DAL62over
2025-09-14@ DET128over
2025-09-08vs MIN37under