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Roschon Johnson

CHI vs NE · Thu 8:15 PM ET

Receptions · 1.5 at FanDuel ·

60%under3 / 5 · last 10
2 / 5Cleared the number in 2 of 5 games, 5 without a result

How the formula reads this game

  • targets: 3.3 a game recently

Expected receptions: 2.7 against 1.5 · over 53%, under 47%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 3 this season.

Last 10 games against 1.5 · Oct 13, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026

Worst miss -3.5 on the under
1.5No resultNo resultNo resultNo resultNo result2025-10-13 at WAS: 0, under 1.5 by 1.50WAS2025-10-19 vs NO: 0, under 1.5 by 1.50NO2026-10-04 vs NYJ: 1, under 1.5 by 0.51NYJ2026-10-11 at GB: 5, over 1.5 by 3.55GB2026-10-18 at ATL: 2, over 1.5 by 0.52ATL
Each game against 1.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
2025-10-13WAS0 under−1.5
2025-10-19NO0 under−1.5
2026-10-04NYJ1 under−0.5
2026-10-11GB5 over+3.5
2026-10-18ATL2 over+0.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 103 / 560% under-0.1
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range

1.59 books, no line disagreementPX2 · BR · BB · FD · FL · HR · DK · MGM · ESPN

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 1.5
2026-10-18@ ATL2over
2026-10-11@ GB5over
2026-10-04vs NYJ1under
2025-10-19vs NO0under
2025-10-13@ WAS0under