← NFL board3 straight under
Roschon Johnson
CHI @ GB · Sun 1:00 PM ETRushing Yards · 16.5 at Fliff ·
100%under3 / 3 · last 10
0 / 3Cleared the number in 0 of 3 games, 7 without a result
- Kyle Monangai RB is listed Out (thumb). He had 38% of CHI's carries this season, 15.0 a game over 4.
The game history below does not account for this absence.
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 2.5 a game recently → 2.7 this game
- Monangai out · +0.2 carries (1% of his 15)
- vs GB · ×0.99 yds per carry
- Heavier load · ×1.07 yds per carry
Expected rushing yards: 14.1 yds against 16.5
No probability is shown: the formula has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 1 this season.
Last 10 games against 16.5 · Oct 13, 2025 – Oct 4, 2026
Tightest clearance +1 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2025-10-13 | WAS | 6 under | −10.5 |
| 2025-10-19 | NO | 11 under | −5.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | NYJ | 16 under | −0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 3 / 3 | 100% under | +6 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 100% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
5 books · 1 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 17.5
- DraftKings 16.5
- Fliff 16.5
- PrizePicks 16.5
- Hard Rock Bet 17.5 (easiest number)
- FanDuel 17.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | vs NYJ | 16 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | vs NO | 11 | under |
| 2025-10-13 | @ WAS | 6 | under |