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Ryan Flournoy
DAL vs ARI · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceptions · 3.5 at FanDuel ·
48Signal · over 3.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 5.7 a game recently
Expected receptions: 3.9 against 3.5 · over 48%, under 52%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 3.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 26, 2026
Worst miss -1.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | MIN | 4 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | LAC | 2 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | NYG | 5 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | NYG | 2 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | WAS | 5 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | BAL | 2 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | HOU | 4 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-08 | TB | 3 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | GB | 7 over | +3.5 |
| 2026-10-26 | PHI | 4 over | +0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +0.3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
3.55 books, no line disagreementESPN · HR · DK · FD · FL· best price at 3.5: ESPN, HR +120
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | @ PHI | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-18 | @ GB | 7 | over |
| 2026-10-08 | vs TB | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ HOU | 4 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs BAL | 2 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs WAS | 5 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ NYG | 2 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | @ NYG | 5 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | vs LAC | 2 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | vs MIN | 4 | over |
| 2025-12-04 | @ DET | 9 | over |
| 2025-11-27 | vs KC | 3 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs PHI | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-17 | @ LV | 1 | under |
| 2025-11-03 | vs ARI | 2 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | @ DEN | 1 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ CAR | 3 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ NYJ | 6 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs GB | 2 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | @ CHI | 2 | under |