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Samaje Perine
CIN @ BAL · Sun 1:00 PM ETRushing Yards · 20.5 at PrizePicks ·
54Signal · over 20.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 5.4 a game recently
- vs BAL · ×0.96 yds per carry
Expected rushing yards: 21.1 yds against 20.5 · over 46%, under 54%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 20.5 · Dec 7, 2025 – Oct 11, 2026
Worst miss -15| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | BUF | 31 over | +10.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | BAL | 42 over | +21.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | MIA | 25 over | +4.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | ARI | 5 under | −15.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | CLE | 42 over | +21.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | TB | 20 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | HOU | 6 under | −14.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | PIT | 9 under | −11.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | JAX | 7 under | −13.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | MIA | 68 over | +47.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +5 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
5 books · 1 yds spread
- FanDuel 20.5
- Fliff 20.5
- PrizePicks 20.5
- Hard Rock Bet 21.5
- DraftKings 21.5
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 20.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | @ MIA | 68 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | vs JAX | 7 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ PIT | 9 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ HOU | 6 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs TB | 20 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs CLE | 42 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | vs ARI | 5 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | @ MIA | 25 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs BAL | 42 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | @ BUF | 31 | over |
| 2025-11-27 | @ BAL | 39 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs CHI | 5 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs NYJ | 94 | over |
| 2025-10-16 | vs PIT | 31 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ GB | 16 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | vs DET | 27 | over |
| 2025-09-29 | @ DEN | 4 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | @ MIN | 21 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ CLE | 0 | under |