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Tetairoa McMillan

CAR vs TB · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Receiving Yards · 69.5 at BetMGM ·

49Signal · over 69.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games

How the formula reads this game

  • targets: 9.6 a game recently
  • vs TB · ×0.99 yds per target

Expected receiving yards: 93.3 yds against 69.5 · over 49%, under 51%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.

Last 10 games against 69.5 · Nov 30, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026

Worst miss -64
69.52025-11-30 vs LA: 43, under 69.5 by 26.5 yds43LA2025-12-14 at NO: 25, under 69.5 by 44.5 yds25NO2025-12-21 vs TB: 73, over 69.5 by 3.5 yds73TB2025-12-28 vs SEA: 5, under 69.5 by 64.5 yds5SEA2026-01-03 at TB: 85, over 69.5 by 15.5 yds85TB2026-09-13 vs CHI: 75, over 69.5 by 5.5 yds75CHI2026-09-20 at ATL: 101, over 69.5 by 31.5 yds101ATL2026-09-27 at CLE: 17, under 69.5 by 52.5 yds17CLE2026-10-04 vs DET: 192, over 69.5 by 122.5 yds192DET2026-10-18 at PHI: 86, over 69.5 by 16.5 yds86PHI
Each game against 69.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-11-30LA43 under−26.5
2025-12-14NO25 under−44.5
2025-12-21TB73 over+3.5
2025-12-28SEA5 under−64.5
2026-01-03TB85 over+15.5
2026-09-13CHI75 over+5.5
2026-09-20ATL101 over+31.5
2026-09-27CLE17 under−52.5
2026-10-04DET192 over+122.5
2026-10-18PHI86 over+16.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the over
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 106 / 1060% over+1
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

11 books · 4 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 67.5 · best price PX2 -115
  • betPARX 67.5 -115 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
  • BetRivers 67.5 -117 (easiest number)
  • Bally Bet 67.5 -121 (easiest number)
  • FanDuel 69.5 -114
  • BetMGM 69.5 -115
  • ESPN Bet 69.5 -125
  • Underdog 69.5
  • Hard Rock Bet 70.5 -115
  • Fliff 70.5 -120
  • DraftKings 71.5 -112
  • PrizePicks 71.5

Line movement

  • PrizePicksMoved from 68.5 to 71.5

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 69.5
2026-10-18@ PHI86over
2026-10-04vs DET192over
2026-09-27@ CLE17under
2026-09-20@ ATL101over
2026-09-13vs CHI75over
2026-01-03@ TB85over
2025-12-28vs SEA5under
2025-12-21vs TB73over
2025-12-14@ NO25under
2025-11-30vs LA43under
2025-11-24@ SF35under
2025-11-16@ ATL130over
2025-11-09vs NO60under
2025-11-02@ GB46under
2025-10-26vs BUF99over
2025-10-19@ NYJ33under
2025-10-12vs DAL29under
2025-10-05vs MIA73over
2025-09-28@ NE62under
2025-09-21vs ATL48under
2025-09-14@ ARI100over
2025-09-07@ JAX68under