Tory Horton

SEA @ LV · Sun 4:05 PM ET

Receptions · 0.5 · median of 4 books ·

54Signal · over 0.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance

7 / 10

How the formula reads this game

targets: 3.2 a game recently

Expected receptions: 1.7 against 0.5 · over 54%, under 46%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.

Last 10 games against 0.5 · Oct 5, 2025 – Nov 8, 2026

Worst miss -0.5

Each game against 0.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
2025-10-05	TB	3 over	+2.5
2025-10-12	JAX	0 under	−0.5
2025-10-20	HOU	0 under	−0.5
2025-11-02	WAS	4 over	+3.5
2026-09-27	WAS	3 over	+2.5
2026-10-04	LAC	1 over	+0.5
2026-10-15	DEN	1 over	+0.5
2026-10-25	KC	0 under	−0.5
2026-11-02	CHI	3 over	+2.5
2026-11-08	ARI	2 over	+1.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin for the over
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	7 / 10	70% over	+1.2
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Away (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 70% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

0.54 books, no line disagreementFD · FL · HR · DK· best price at 0.5: FD, FL, HR -225

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 0.5
2026-11-08	vs ARI	2	over
2026-11-02	vs CHI	3	over
2026-10-25	vs KC	0	under
2026-10-15	@ DEN	1	over
2026-10-04	vs LAC	1	over
2026-09-27	@ WAS	3	over
2025-11-02	@ WAS	4	over
2025-10-20	vs HOU	0	under
2025-10-12	@ JAX	0	under
2025-10-05	vs TB	3	over
2025-09-25	@ ARI	1	over
2025-09-21	vs NO	3	over
2025-09-14	@ PIT	2	over