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Tory Horton
SEA @ LV · Sun 4:05 PM ETReceptions · 0.5 at FanDuel ·
54Signal · over 0.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
7 / 10Cleared the number in 7 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 3.2 a game recently
Expected receptions: 1.7 against 0.5 · over 54%, under 46%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 0.5 · Oct 5, 2025 – Nov 8, 2026
Worst miss -0.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | TB | 3 over | +2.5 |
| 2025-10-12 | JAX | 0 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-10-20 | HOU | 0 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-11-02 | WAS | 4 over | +3.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | WAS | 3 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | LAC | 1 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-15 | DEN | 1 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | KC | 0 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-11-02 | CHI | 3 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-11-08 | ARI | 2 over | +1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% over | +1.2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
0.54 books, no line disagreementFD · FL · HR · DK· best price at 0.5: FD, FL, HR -225
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | vs ARI | 2 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs CHI | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs KC | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-15 | @ DEN | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | vs LAC | 1 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ WAS | 3 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | @ WAS | 4 | over |
| 2025-10-20 | vs HOU | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ JAX | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | vs TB | 3 | over |
| 2025-09-25 | @ ARI | 1 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | vs NO | 3 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | @ PIT | 2 | over |