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TreVeyon Henderson
NE @ CHI · Thu 8:15 PM ETCarries · 6.5 at PrizePicks ·
80%over8 / 10 · last 10
8 / 10Cleared the number in 8 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 9.8 a game recently
Expected carries: 9.8 against 6.5 · over 54%, under 46%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 6.5 · Dec 1, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -2.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-01 | NYG | 11 over | +4.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | BUF | 14 over | +7.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | BAL | 5 under | −1.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | NYJ | 19 over | +12.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | MIA | 13 over | +6.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | PIT | 16 over | +9.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | JAX | 8 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | BUF | 14 over | +7.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | LV | 4 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NYJ | 7 over | +0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 8 / 10 | 80% over | +4.6 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 80% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
6.57 books, no line disagreementESPN · PX2 · DK · BB · HR · FL · PP· best price at 6.5: ESPN +105
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 7.5 to 6.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 7.5 to 6.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 7.5 to 6.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 6.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs NYJ | 7 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs LV | 4 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ BUF | 14 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ JAX | 8 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs PIT | 16 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | vs MIA | 13 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ NYJ | 19 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | @ BAL | 5 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | vs BUF | 14 | over |
| 2025-12-01 | vs NYG | 11 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | @ CIN | 18 | over |
| 2025-11-13 | vs NYJ | 19 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ TB | 14 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs ATL | 14 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | vs CLE | 10 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | @ TEN | 2 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ NO | 9 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ BUF | 6 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs CAR | 7 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | vs PIT | 11 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | @ MIA | 3 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | vs LV | 5 | under |