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TreVeyon Henderson
NE @ CHI · Thu 8:15 PM ETRushing Yards · 24.5 at BetRivers ·
70%over7 / 10 · last 10
7 / 10Cleared the number in 7 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 9.8 a game recently
- vs CHI · ×1.02 yds per carry
Expected rushing yards: 39.7 yds against 24.5 · over 52%, under 48%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 24.5 · Dec 1, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -21| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-01 | NYG | 67 over | +42.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | BUF | 148 over | +123.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | BAL | 3 under | −21.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | NYJ | 82 over | +57.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | MIA | 53 over | +28.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | PIT | 76 over | +51.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | JAX | 23 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | BUF | 42 over | +17.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | LV | 22 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NYJ | 31 over | +6.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% over | +30 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
24.512 books, no line disagreementESPN · DK · FD · PX2 · BR · MGM · FL · HR · BB · PK6 · PP · UD· best price at 24.5: ESPN +100
Line movement
- Bally BetMoved from 28.5 to 24.5
- BetMGMMoved from 29.5 to 24.5
- betPARXMoved from 28.5 to 24.5
- BetRiversMoved from 28.5 to 24.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 29.5 to 24.5
- ESPN BetMoved from 28.5 to 24.5
- FanDuelMoved from 29.5 to 24.5
- FliffMoved from 25.5 to 24.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 29.5 to 24.5
- DK Pick6Moved from 29.5 to 24.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 29.5 to 24.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 24.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs NYJ | 31 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs LV | 22 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ BUF | 42 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ JAX | 23 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs PIT | 76 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | vs MIA | 53 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ NYJ | 82 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | @ BAL | 3 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | vs BUF | 148 | over |
| 2025-12-01 | vs NYG | 67 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | @ CIN | 66 | over |
| 2025-11-13 | vs NYJ | 62 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ TB | 147 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs ATL | 55 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | vs CLE | 75 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | @ TEN | 5 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ NO | 27 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ BUF | 24 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs CAR | 32 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | vs PIT | 28 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | @ MIA | 10 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | vs LV | 27 | over |