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Trevor Etienne
CAR vs DEN · Sun 1:00 PM ETRushing Yards · 5.5 at Underdog ·
63Signal · over 5.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 2.7 a game recently → 3.4 this game
- RB2 on the depth chart (usually RB3) · ×1.26 carries
- vs DEN · ×0.99 yds per carry
- Heavier load · ×0.98 yds per carry
Expected rushing yards: 3.2 yds against 5.5 · over 37%, under 63%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 3 this season.
Last 10 games against 5.5 · Sep 14, 2025 – Oct 29, 2026
Worst miss -6| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-14 | ARI | 0 under | −5.5 |
| 2025-09-28 | NE | 33 over | +27.5 |
| 2025-10-05 | MIA | 22 over | +16.5 |
| 2025-10-12 | DAL | 17 over | +11.5 |
| 2025-10-26 | BUF | 16 over | +10.5 |
| 2025-11-16 | ATL | 2 under | −3.5 |
| 2025-11-30 | LA | 0 under | −5.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | PHI | -1 under | −6.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | TB | 8 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-10-29 | GB | 1 under | −4.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +4 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
5 books · 2 yds spread
- DraftKings 5.5
- Hard Rock Bet 5.5
- DK Pick6 5.5
- Underdog 5.5
- PrizePicks 7.5
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 5.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | @ GB | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | vs TB | 8 | over |
| 2026-10-18 | @ PHI | -1 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs LA | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ ATL | 2 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs BUF | 16 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | vs DAL | 17 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | vs MIA | 22 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | @ NE | 33 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | @ ARI | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ JAX | 4 | under |