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Tutu Atwell

LA @ WAS · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Receptions · 1.5 at PrizePicks ·

56Signal · under 1.580% · 8 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
2 / 10Cleared the number in 2 of 10 games

How the formula reads this game

  • targets: 2.0 a game recently → 2.1 this game
  • WR3 on the depth chart (usually WR4+) · ×1.06 targets

Expected receptions: 1.3 against 1.5 · over 44%, under 56%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 4 this season.

Last 10 games against 1.5 · Sep 21, 2025 – Nov 1, 2026

Worst miss -0.5 on the under
1.52025-09-21 at PHI: 0, under 1.5 by 1.50PHI2025-09-28 vs IND: 1, under 1.5 by 0.51IND2025-10-02 vs SF: 2, over 1.5 by 0.52SF2025-12-14 vs DET: 1, under 1.5 by 0.51DET2025-12-29 at ATL: 0, under 1.5 by 1.50ATL2026-01-04 vs ARI: 1, under 1.5 by 0.51ARI2026-09-21 vs NYG: 1, under 1.5 by 0.51NYG2026-10-04 at PHI: 1, under 1.5 by 0.51PHI2026-10-12 vs BUF: 1, under 1.5 by 0.51BUF2026-11-01 vs LAC: 2, over 1.5 by 0.52LAC
Each game against 1.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-09-21PHI0 under−1.5
2025-09-28IND1 under−0.5
2025-10-02SF2 over+0.5
2025-12-14DET1 under−0.5
2025-12-29ATL0 under−1.5
2026-01-04ARI1 under−0.5
2026-09-21NYG1 under−0.5
2026-10-04PHI1 under−0.5
2026-10-12BUF1 under−0.5
2026-11-01LAC2 over+0.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 108 / 1080% under+0.5
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Away (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 80% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

1.52 books, no line disagreementPP · UD

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 1.5
2026-11-01vs LAC2over
2026-10-12vs BUF1under
2026-10-04@ PHI1under
2026-09-21vs NYG1under
2026-01-04vs ARI1under
2025-12-29@ ATL0under
2025-12-14vs DET1under
2025-10-02vs SF2over
2025-09-28vs IND1under
2025-09-21@ PHI0under
2025-09-14@ TEN0under
2025-09-07vs HOU1under