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Tyler Shough
NO vs PIT · Sun 9:30 AM ETPass Attempts · 34.5 at BetMGM · median 35.5 ·
51Signal · over 34.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 39.2 a game recently
Expected pass attempts: 39.2 against 34.5 · over 51%, under 49%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 34.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -9.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | CAR | 32 under | −2.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | NYJ | 49 over | +14.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | TEN | 27 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | ATL | 35 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | DET | 56 over | +21.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | BAL | 34 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | LV | 42 over | +7.5 |
| 2026-10-05 | ATL | 48 over | +13.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | MIN | 25 under | −9.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NYG | 30 under | −4.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +3.3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
8 books · 2 spread
- BetMGM 34.5
- betPARX 35.5
- Bally Bet 35.5
- Fliff 35.5
- Fanatics 35.5
- PrizePicks 36
- Hard Rock Bet 36.5
- DraftKings 36.5
Line movement
- BetMGMMoved from 35.5 to 34.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 33.5 to 36
- DraftKingsMoved from 35.5 to 36.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 34.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ NYG | 30 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs MIN | 25 | under |
| 2026-10-05 | vs ATL | 48 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs LV | 42 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ BAL | 34 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ DET | 56 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | @ ATL | 35 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ TEN | 27 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs NYJ | 49 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs CAR | 32 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ TB | 20 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | @ MIA | 38 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs ATL | 43 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ CAR | 27 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | @ LA | 24 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs TB | 30 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | @ SEA | 2 | under |