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Tyson Bagent
CHI @ GB · Sun 1:00 PM ETCarries · 3.5 at Fliff ·
52Signal · under 3.575% · 3 / 4 · last 10 · props like this landed
1 / 4Cleared the number in 1 of 4 games, 6 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 1.7 a game recently
Expected carries: 1.7 against 3.5
No probability is shown: the formula has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 2 this season.
Last 10 games against 3.5 · Sep 14, 2025 – Oct 4, 2026
Worst miss -0.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2025-09-14 | DET | 2 under | −1.5 |
| 2025-11-02 | CIN | 0 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | MIN | 0 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | NYJ | 4 over | +0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 3 / 4 | 75% under | +2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 75% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
Book Range
3.53 books, no line disagreementFAN · FL · PP
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | vs NYJ | 4 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs MIN | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | @ CIN | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ DET | 2 | under |