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Kalif Raymond
CHI @ SEA · Mon 8:20 PM ETReceiving Yards · 16.5 · median of 8 books ·
53Signal · over 16.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 4.4 a game recently
- vs SEA · ×0.92 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 32.2 yds against 16.5 · over 53%, under 47%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 16.5 · Dec 21, 2025 – Oct 22, 2026
Worst miss -16| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 | PIT | 62 over | +45.5 |
| 2025-12-25 | MIN | 5 under | −11.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | CHI | 52 over | +35.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | CAR | 84 over | +67.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | MIN | 40 over | +23.5 |
| 2026-09-28 | PHI | 90 over | +73.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | NYJ | 6 under | −10.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | GB | 6 under | −10.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | ATL | 18 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-10-22 | NE | 0 under | −16.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +20 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
8 books · 6 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 14.5
- ESPN Bet 14.5 -140 (easiest number)
- DraftKings 16.5 -109
- Hard Rock Bet 16.5 -120
- PrizePicks 16.5
- FanDuel 17.5 -114
- betPARX 20.5 -112
- BetRivers 20.5 -113
- Bally Bet 20.5 -117
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 22.5 to 16.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 22.5 to 16.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 22.5 to 16.5
- FanDuelMoved from 22.5 to 17.5
- Bally BetMoved from 23.5 to 20.5
- betPARXMoved from 23.5 to 20.5
- BetRiversMoved from 23.5 to 20.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | vs NE | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-18 | @ ATL | 18 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | @ GB | 6 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | vs NYJ | 6 | under |
| 2026-09-28 | vs PHI | 90 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs MIN | 40 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ CAR | 84 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | @ CHI | 52 | over |
| 2025-12-25 | @ MIN | 5 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs PIT | 62 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | @ LA | 20 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs NYG | 37 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ WAS | 49 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs MIN | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-20 | vs TB | 17 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs CLE | 13 | under |
| 2025-09-22 | @ BAL | 4 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs CHI | 14 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ GB | 16 | under |