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Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET vs GB · Sun 4:25 PM ETReceptions · 7.5 at Fliff ·
46Signal · over 7.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 11.4 a game recently
Expected receptions: 7.4 against 7.5 · over 46%, under 54%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 7.5 · Dec 4, 2025 – Oct 11, 2026
Worst miss -3.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | DAL | 6 under | −1.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | LA | 13 over | +5.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | PIT | 4 under | −3.5 |
| 2025-12-25 | MIN | 8 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | CHI | 11 over | +3.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | NO | 10 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-09-17 | BUF | 9 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NYJ | 4 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | CAR | 8 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | ARI | 6 under | −1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +0.4 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
7.511 books, no line disagreementFD · PX2 · BR · HR · BB · ESPN · FL · DK · MGM · PP · UD· best price at 7.5: FD +100
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 7.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | @ ARI | 6 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ CAR | 8 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs NYJ | 4 | under |
| 2026-09-17 | @ BUF | 9 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs NO | 10 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | @ CHI | 11 | over |
| 2025-12-25 | @ MIN | 8 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | vs PIT | 4 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ LA | 13 | over |
| 2025-12-04 | vs DAL | 6 | under |
| 2025-11-27 | vs GB | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs NYG | 9 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | @ PHI | 2 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ WAS | 5 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs MIN | 9 | over |
| 2025-10-20 | vs TB | 6 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ KC | 9 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ CIN | 8 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs CLE | 7 | under |
| 2025-09-22 | @ BAL | 7 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs CHI | 9 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ GB | 4 | under |