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Bam Knight
ARI @ DAL · Sun 1:00 PM ETRushing Yards · 22.5 · median of 3 books ·
53Signal · over 22.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 6.3 a game recently
- vs DAL · ×1.02 yds per carry
Expected rushing yards: 40.8 yds against 22.5 · over 53%, under 47%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 4 this season.
Last 10 games against 22.5 · Nov 9, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -24| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | SEA | 28 over | +5.5 |
| 2025-11-16 | SF | 24 over | +1.5 |
| 2025-11-23 | JAX | 12 under | −10.5 |
| 2025-11-30 | TB | 62 over | +39.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | LA | 16 under | −6.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | HOU | -2 under | −24.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | SEA | 24 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | DET | 8 under | −14.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | LA | 80 over | +57.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | DEN | 48 over | +25.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +8 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
22.53 books, no line disagreementFD · HR · PP· best price at 22.5: FD -114
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 22.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs DEN | 48 | over |
| 2026-10-18 | @ LA | 80 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs DET | 8 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs SEA | 24 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | @ HOU | -2 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | vs LA | 16 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | @ TB | 62 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs JAX | 12 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs SF | 24 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ SEA | 28 | over |
| 2025-11-03 | @ DAL | 27 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | vs GB | 57 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ IND | 34 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | vs TEN | 11 | under |