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Tyler Allgeier
ARI @ DAL · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceptions · 1.5 ·
50Signal · over 1.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
PrizePicks 1.5 ·
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 2.4 a game recently
Expected receptions: 2.3 against 1.5 · over 50%, under 50%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 1.5 · Dec 21, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -1.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 | ARI | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-29 | LA | 0 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | NO | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | LAC | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | SEA | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | SF | 4 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | NYG | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | DET | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | LA | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | DEN | 3 over | +1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +0.3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
1.5PrizePicks· one book
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs DEN | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-18 | @ LA | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs DET | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ NYG | 2 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ SF | 4 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs SEA | 2 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ LAC | 2 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | vs NO | 1 | under |
| 2025-12-29 | vs LA | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | @ ARI | 1 | under |
| 2025-12-11 | @ TB | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | vs SEA | 2 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | @ NYJ | 2 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | @ NO | 1 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs CAR | 2 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ IND | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | @ NE | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs MIA | 2 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | @ SF | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-13 | vs BUF | 1 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs WAS | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | @ CAR | 1 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ MIN | 1 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | vs TB | 0 | under |