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Blake Corum
LA @ LV · Sun 4:25 PM ETCarries · 7.5 at Fanatics · median 8 ·
47Signal · over 7.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 7.8 a game recently
Expected carries: 7.8 against 7.5 · over 47%, under 53%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 7.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -2.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | DET | 11 over | +3.5 |
| 2025-12-18 | SEA | 14 over | +6.5 |
| 2025-12-29 | ATL | 6 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | ARI | 13 over | +5.5 |
| 2026-09-10 | SF | 10 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-09-21 | NYG | 12 over | +4.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | DEN | 6 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | PHI | 5 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-10-12 | BUF | 5 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | ARI | 9 over | +1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +1.6 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
8 books · 1 spreadEasiest number for the over: 7.5 · best price DK -131
- DraftKings 7.5 -131 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
- Fanatics 7.5 -135 (easiest number)
- Fliff 7.5 -140 (easiest number)
- PrizePicks 8
- betPARX 8.5 +108
- Bally Bet 8.5 +104
- Hard Rock Bet 8.5 +100
- BetMGM 8.5 -105
Line movement
- PrizePicksMoved from 7.5 to 8
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 7.5 to 8.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 7.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs ARI | 9 | over |
| 2026-10-12 | vs BUF | 5 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ PHI | 5 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ DEN | 6 | under |
| 2026-09-21 | vs NYG | 12 | over |
| 2026-09-10 | vs SF | 10 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | vs ARI | 13 | over |
| 2025-12-29 | @ ATL | 6 | under |
| 2025-12-18 | @ SEA | 14 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs DET | 11 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | @ ARI | 12 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | @ CAR | 7 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs TB | 7 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs SEA | 8 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ SF | 13 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs NO | 13 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | @ JAX | 12 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ BAL | 5 | under |
| 2025-10-02 | vs SF | 1 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs IND | 9 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ PHI | 8 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | @ TEN | 5 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | vs HOU | 1 | under |