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Blake Corum
LA @ LV · Sun 4:25 PM ETReceiving Yards · 7.5 at DraftKings · median 6.5 ·
51Signal · over 7.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 2.2 a game recently
- vs LV · ×1.02 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 15.5 yds against 7.5 · over 51%, under 49%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 7.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -7| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | DET | 0 under | −7.5 |
| 2025-12-18 | SEA | 13 over | +5.5 |
| 2025-12-29 | ATL | 0 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | ARI | 10 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-09-10 | SF | 0 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-09-21 | NYG | 13 over | +5.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | DEN | 0 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | PHI | 7 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-12 | BUF | 53 over | +45.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | ARI | 18 over | +10.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +4 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
9 books · 1 yds spread
- FanDuel 6.5
- BetMGM 6.5
- Fliff 6.5
- Hard Rock Bet 6.5
- betPARX 6.5
- BetRivers 6.5
- Bally Bet 6.5
- PrizePicks 6.5
- DraftKings 7.5
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 7.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs ARI | 18 | over |
| 2026-10-12 | vs BUF | 53 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ PHI | 7 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ DEN | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-21 | vs NYG | 13 | over |
| 2026-09-10 | vs SF | 0 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs ARI | 10 | over |
| 2025-12-29 | @ ATL | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-18 | @ SEA | 13 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs DET | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ ARI | 3 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | @ CAR | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs TB | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs SEA | -5 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ SF | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs NO | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ JAX | 6 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ BAL | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-02 | vs SF | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs IND | -5 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | @ PHI | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ TEN | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | vs HOU | 14 | over |