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Cam Ward
TEN vs CLE · Sun 1:00 PM ETCompletions · 18.5 at Fanatics ·
46Signal · over 18.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 29.5 a game recently
Expected completions: 18.2 against 18.5 · over 46%, under 54%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 18.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -15.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | SF | 18 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | KC | 21 over | +2.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | NO | 21 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | JAX | 3 under | −15.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | NYJ | 19 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | PHI | 13 under | −5.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NYG | 23 over | +4.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | BAL | 20 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | HOU | 23 over | +4.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | IND | 11 under | −7.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | -1.3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
18.510 books, no line disagreementBB · PX2 · BR · DK · FAN · HR · MGM · FL · PP · UD· best price at 18.5: BB, PX2, BR -108
Line movement
- PrizePicksMoved from 20.5 to 18.5
- UnderdogMoved from 20.5 to 18.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 18.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ IND | 11 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs HOU | 23 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ BAL | 20 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ NYG | 23 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs PHI | 13 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs NYJ | 19 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | @ JAX | 3 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | vs NO | 21 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | vs KC | 21 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | @ SF | 18 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ CLE | 14 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs JAX | 24 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs SEA | 28 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs HOU | 24 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs LAC | 12 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | @ IND | 22 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | vs NE | 25 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ LV | 26 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ ARI | 21 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | @ HOU | 10 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs IND | 23 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | vs LA | 19 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ DEN | 12 | under |