← NFL board
Cam Ward
TEN vs CLE · Sun 1:00 PM ETPassing Yards · 179.5 at Bally Bet · median 187.5 ·
56Signal · under 179.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 29.5 a game recently
Expected passing yards: 166.3 yds against 179.5 · over 44%, under 56%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 179.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -127| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | SF | 170 under | −9.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | KC | 228 over | +48.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | NO | 251 over | +71.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | JAX | 52 under | −127.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | NYJ | 140 under | −39.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | PHI | 183 over | +3.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NYG | 181 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | BAL | 222 over | +42.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | HOU | 170 under | −9.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | IND | 102 under | −77.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | -10 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
10 books · 10 yds spread
- Bally Bet 179.5
- betPARX 179.5
- BetRivers 179.5
- ESPN Bet 184.5
- DraftKings 187.5
- FanDuel 187.5
- Hard Rock Bet 187.5
- PrizePicks 187.5
- Fliff 188.5
- BetMGM 189.5
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 185.5 to 187.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 186.5 to 187.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 183.5 to 187.5
- FliffMoved from 189.5 to 188.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 179.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ IND | 102 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs HOU | 170 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ BAL | 222 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ NYG | 181 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs PHI | 183 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs NYJ | 140 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | @ JAX | 52 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | vs NO | 251 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | vs KC | 228 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | @ SF | 170 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ CLE | 117 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs JAX | 141 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs SEA | 256 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs HOU | 194 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs LAC | 145 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | @ IND | 259 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | vs NE | 255 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ LV | 222 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ ARI | 265 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | @ HOU | 108 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs IND | 219 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | vs LA | 175 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ DEN | 112 | under |