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Chuba Hubbard
CAR @ GB · Thu 8:15 PM ETRush + Rec Yards · 86.5 at BetRivers · median 87.5 ·
47Signal · under 86.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 16.0 a game recently
- targets: 3.0 a game recently
- vs GB · ×0.99 yds per carry
Expected rush + rec yards: 94.6 yds against 86.5 · over 47%, under 53%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 86.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -42 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | NO | 38 under | −48.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | TB | 34 under | −52.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | SEA | 18 under | −68.5 |
| 2026-01-03 | TB | 17 under | −69.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | CHI | 87 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | ATL | 64 under | −22.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | CLE | 110 over | +23.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | DET | 129 over | +42.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | PHI | 121 over | +34.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | TB | 60 under | −26.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | +19 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
8 books · 2 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 88.5
- Bally Bet 86.5
- betPARX 86.5
- BetRivers 86.5
- DraftKings 87.5
- PrizePicks 87.5
- FanDuel 88.5 (easiest number)
- Hard Rock Bet 88.5 (easiest number)
- Fliff 88.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 86.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs TB | 60 | under |
| 2026-10-18 | @ PHI | 121 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | vs DET | 129 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ CLE | 110 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ ATL | 64 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs CHI | 87 | over |
| 2026-01-03 | @ TB | 17 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | vs SEA | 18 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs TB | 34 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ NO | 38 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs LA | 124 | over |
| 2025-11-24 | @ SF | 43 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ ATL | 28 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs NO | 15 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | @ GB | 17 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs BUF | 34 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ NYJ | 55 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | @ NE | 69 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs ATL | 76 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ ARI | 77 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ JAX | 89 | over |